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02/25/2022

Political and military goals of Russia in Ukraine

Political and military goals of Russia in Ukraine

“We can say that the political goal of Moscow is to overthrow the current Kiev administration, which the Russian government describes as “Nazi junta”, and that its military goal is to completely disable the Ukrainian military infrastructure”, said United World International expert Onur Sinan Güzaltan in an interview to the Turkish newspaper Cumhuriyet when describing the Russian military operation in Ukraine.

Below we present the interview as published by Cumhuriyet, the original text can be read here.

Subtitles were set by UWI.


“The next step may be a referendum to unite with Russia”

Güzaltan stated that “With this military intervention in Ukraine through the People’s Republics of Donetsk and Lugansk, Russia has halted NATO’s expansion to the east once and for all”. He added Moscow’s retreat in the face of the West since the 1980s had come to an end now.

Güzaltan described the military goals of the Russian intervention as follows; “The first intel indicates that the Russian military intervention is directed towards the overall territory of Ukraine.”

“We can say that the political goal of Moscow is to overthrow the current Kiev administration, which Russian government describes as the “Nazi junta”, and that its military goal is to completely disable the Ukrainian military infrastructure.”

According to Güzaltan, Russia’s next step may be “to hold a referendum on the union of Donetsk and Lugansk Republics with the Russian Federation, just as they did in Crimea.”

Commenting on the political picture that emerged after the Russian military intervention, Güzaltan said:  “The latest situation shows that Ukraine, which has followed the directives from NATO, has lost a significant part of its territory, and become a politically divided and an economically bankrupt country. Today, Ukraine has become what is described in the international law as a “failed state”. Russia on the other hand has refused to allow NATO enter its hinterland, despite the constant pressure from the West. “

“This weak response from the US will further accelerate the European shift away from the Washington”

Assessing the international reflections of the Ukrainian crisis, Güzaltan stated: “When we look at this issue from the point of view of international balance of power; We can see that the United States aims to target the developing Russian-European relations through the Ukrainian crisis, and to regain the control of Europe, which the US is about to lose with a new Cold War-like balances of power.

But the developments so far show that the United States, which has pushed Ukraine into a bloody war, does not show the strength to stand behind its ally and is only content to puny economic sanctions.”

While explaining that the incapability of the US is increasing the approval rates of Putin in Russia, Güzaltan said that “the weak attitude of the United States increases the mistrust among the European countries, leads the Paris-Berlin axis to maintain some relations with Moscow despite rising tensions. China’s support for Russia against the NATO expansion, is another reason that led the European countries to be extra cautious in diplomacy. It is likely that Russian diplomacy in the coming period will focus on accelerating policies aimed at rebuilding its relations with European partners”.

“Turkey must be careful with the Montreux Convention”

According to Güzaltan, “As an era in world politics ends, we are entering a new process in which the influence of the United States over Europe decreases more than ever, even losing Europe entirely, while the multipolar world gets more and more apparent with each day.”

While stating that Turkey should be careful about the implementation of the Montreux Convention, Güzaltan stated that “I hope that those who advocate for NATO in Turkey, have learned the necessary lessons from the current situation in Ukraine, and will become aware that a new world is rising.”

Onur Sinan Güzaltan
Onur Sinan Güzaltan was born in Istanbul in 1985. He had his Bachelors's degree in Law, from the Paris-Est Créteil Val de Marne Universty /Paris XII and a Master's degree in International and European Law. He got his certificate of diploma equivalence at Galatasaray University. Later, he got a Master's degree in International Trade Law, at the Institut de Droit des Affaires Internationales, founded jointly by the Sorbonne Universty and the Cairo Universty. In this process, he had served as the Cairo representative for the Aydinlik Newspaper. He has several articles and television streams within the international press, in such as People's Daily, Al Yaum, Al Ahram, Russia Today FranceAl Youm Al Sabea. In addition to being the author of the Tanrı Bizi İster Mi?, a work that studies the 2011-2013 political period in Egypt, he had also contributed to the multi-author study titled Ortadoğu Çıkmazında Türkiye, with an article that focused on the Turkish-Egyptian relations. While currently working as a lawyer, he also writes a weekly column for Aydinlik Newspaper on the subject of international politics and geopolitics.

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