Interview with energy expert Necdet Pamir. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered one of the biggest shocks in global energy markets in decades. Nearly one-fifth of the world’s oil trade and a substantial share of liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipments normally pass through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman. As tensions in the Gulf escalated and ...
The 1956 Suez Canal example, Iran and the U.S.’s maximalist goals, and global realities. By Adem Kılıç, Political Scientist While the ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz are currently only disrupting global energy markets, the real major impacts will emerge in the coming days. About 60 days later, the first signs began to emerge, with the surge in energy ...
How has Türkiye become the most geostrategically important actor in the global system? By Adem Kılıç, Political Scientist The Ukraine War, the genocidal war in Gaza, the subsequent 12-day wars, and the U.S.-Iran war have ushered the global system into a period of restructuring, particularly in terms of energy supply security and logistical realities. This global rupture, deepened by the ...
Why Turkish projects to bypass the Strait of Hormuz are problematic Türkiye seeks to offer alternative trade and energy routes following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran in the war against the US and Israel. The “Middle Corridor”, which bypasses Iran, is considered alternative routes for Qatari natural gas and Iraqi oil, which are currently dependent on ...
“The US can no longer rely on its military power and the hegemony of the dollar as it once did. The transit fees to be collected through the Strait will open a massive door of economic gain for Iran.” By Özgür Altınbaş Iranian political analyst and author Peiman Salehi commented on the ceasefire and Iran’s strategic gains. According to Salehi, ...
Scenarios according to the prolongation of conflict, from 2 weeks to 6 months. By Serhat Latifoğlu Following the attack on Iran by the imperialist US and Zionist Israel, Tehran quickly regrouped and regained both military and psychological superiority. Within just a few days, Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices back up to the $100 level for ...
Interview with geopolitical analyst K.J. Noh. by Yunus Emre Özgün The mainstream narrative treats the current escalation in the Middle East as a localized, manageable crisis. It is not. What we are actually watching in real-time is the rapid, structural overextension of the entire Western bloc. To cut through the daily noise and diplomatic theater, I recently sat down with ...
How has it been proven that economic and military superiority on paper is insufficient? By Adem Kılıç, Political Scientist The Strait of Hormuz has undoubtedly been a key choke point for energy and trade routes throughout history.However, at this point in time, Hormuz has become a full-fledged choke point; despite accounting for only 20 percent of global flow, it not ...
Negotiations, Ceasefire, and the Path Forward As the joint war waged by the United States and Israel—two nuclear-armed states, one of which possesses the most powerful military in the world—approaches its first month, developments on the ground indicate that none of the assumptions held by Washington and Tel Aviv at the outset of the conflict have materialized. The aggressor forces ...
The erratic leadership of NATO NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said on March 22 that he is “absolutely convinced” that the alliance will be able to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Rutte stated 22 countries, including NATO members along with allies such as South Korea and Japan, are coordinating efforts to do that. Cem Gürdeniz, a retired Rear Admiral of ...
How could an “operation” scenario unfold in the Strait of Hormuz, and what would the consequences be? By Adem Kılıç, Political Scientist When discussing a U.S. ground operation in Hormuz, it would be misleading to view the issue solely through the lens of military capability. For the true determining factors are the constraints imposed by geography, Iran’s war doctrine, and ...
Here are the balances in the strait on the brink of catastrophe and the possible military scenarios. By Adem Kılıç, Political Scientist As two weeks of the conflict between the U.S./Israel and Iran have passed, it has become clear that the Strait of Hormuz is not merely a regional transit point, but the lifeblood of the global energy system. This ...